Syria T-90

Damascus, Syria – (9:38 P.M.) Militants from a range of Islamist groups, including the newly-formed Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) group, and the Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP) launched a wide-scale offensive on the 21st of March in the Hama countryside. Although the offensive did initially yield significant territorial gains, pro-government have managed to retake ground throughout the offensive, and maintain composure.

For example, forces from the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) successfully liberated the village of Kawkab. Since the deployment of units from the 5th Corps and Tiger Forces to Hama, opposition militants have struggled to advance, and their offensive has lost much of its momentum.

It seems that they aimed to capture areas lost to the Syrian Army in 2016, and potentially seize the provincial capital, Hama city. According to a senior official in the Russian military, more than 10,000 terrorists have been involved in the recent offensive.

“A number of militant formations attempted to seize the city of Hama since March 21. In the area under opposition control a group was formed numbering more than 10,000, with the foundation of Jabhat al-Nusra and bandit formations that joined them,” Sergei Rudskoy, the Chief of the Russian General Staff Main Operational Directorate said.

Although fighting in the province is ongoing, with neither side possessing a definitive edge, it is abundantly clear that anti-government, Islamist militants have lost their ability to launch large-scale, successful offensives against areas under the sanctuary of the Syrian government, as they did in the 2015 Idlib offensive.

A key difference between the two offensives is the presence of warplanes & attack helicopters from the Russian Air Force (RUAF.) This has certainly helped the SAA keep the militants at bay; the Russian Air Force (RUAF) & Syrian Arab Air Force (SYAAF) destroyed terrorist reinforcements in Hama, preventing pro-government forces from being overwhelmed.

ALSO READ  Massive car bombing targets large Al-Qaeda gathering in Idlib

On a separate note, over the past year or so, there has been regular in-fighting between Islamist groups in Syria, killing hundreds, or even thousands of terrorists. It is unclear if this has significantly deteriorated the militants’ strength, but it certainly bodes well for their opponents.

With Russian assistance and expertise, new pro-government units have been created, and entered the battlefields. For example, the 5th Corps was created and developed with help from Russia. As already mentioned, the 5th Corps has played a key role in defending Hama, and shortly after they were dispatched to the area, the attacking militants lost momentum. The 5th Corps, and other relatively new, elite units have also demonstrated their ability to spearhead offensives in a variety of different scenarios and conditions, ranging from Aleppo city, to Palmyra.

As it stands, militant groups, such as HTS, have gained from their recent Hama offensive, but their decline in Hama, and other areas in Syria is inevitable, provided they don’t receive significant external support.

Follow Author on Twitter: @SulimanM98

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8 Comments on "Hama offensive: An indication of the Syrian opposition’s decline"

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Henri Cochet
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Pro rebel accounts on twitter and elsewhere are clearly discouraged . They’re even criticizing the lack of clear strategy and cooperation between the numerous groups . Since Aleppo , the rebels in Idlibstan had time to prepare a new offensive . If the Hama offensive is all they could throw at Assas , it’s clearly a sign of their decline . Unless it was just a diversion, but each day passing makes it less likely . Clearly Assad has already politically won the war , and the military part is going good as well
Daeshbags Sux
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Daeshbags Sux
This is pleasing. Thus, now Jihadi-Julian criticizes when USAF bombs ISIS as they bomb for #Assad, #Iran and #Hezbollah… Well, and when some ISIS loonie rams a truck at X-Mas market in Berlin, for sure, the police acts for #Assad, #Iran and #Hezbollah when they go after the cockroach! Now, where Abu Charles Lister al-Qatari begins to notice that “AlQaeda Is Starting to Swallow #Syria’s Opposition”! Wooow! He understands fast but you have to explain him for a long time, i.e. 4-5 years Now, the few others I know of are not giving up so easily : Lina Shamy is… Read more »
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I wonder whether Lina Shamy & co are bleeding heart “good mind” falling for for terrorist propaganda or are outright evil.

If the first they are plain resistant to any advice in military matters.

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Una de las prioridades para el gobierno Sirio debe ser cortar la frontera Idlib, Las armas, municiones y mercenarios entran libremente desde Turquía a través de esta frontera.

Assad must stay
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Assad must stay
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Excellent. Heartening prospect 🙂

RomeSPQR
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clubofinfo
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A shame for the rebels, they could have built so many child hospitals and kitten sanctuaries in Hama city. I guess they will instead have to build more of them in Idlib.

Rasate
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В последно време виждаме малко по-голяма координация между сирийската армия. Опитват се да прилагат нещо като огневи вал или по-скро стройна арт. подготовка. Нужно е пряко командване на място. Не виждам нито един полковник, да не говорим за генерал на бойната линия. Там трябва да се разпореждат не само смели, но тактически грамотни и най-вече дисциплинирани командири. Трябва по-ефективно прегрупиране, замаскиране на собственото си придвижване и пренасяне на огъня върху новите цели. Факт е, че при настъпление не виждаме съпортинг вертолети ,а да не говорим за самолети. От клиповете най-лесно се вижда, как и кога трябва да се унищожават терористите… Read more »
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